By John Dike, Osogbo
Osun Central Elite Caucus has projected that the Bola Oyebamiji (AMBO), candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), will defeat incumbent Governor Ademola Adeleke by no fewer than 12,000 votes in the forthcoming Osun governorship election.
In a statement issued on Monday and signed by Professor Hussein Ajirotutu, the group said its forecast was based on what it described as “extensive political assessments” and feedback gathered across the three senatorial districts of the state.
According to the caucus, emerging political signals suggest a gradual shift in momentum toward Oyebamiji. It cited what it called growing dissatisfaction among segments of civil servants, traders, and small business owners, arguing that economic pressures and unmet expectations may be shaping public perception of the current administration.
The group also pointed to what it described as strengthening grassroots structures of the APC in Osun Central. It referenced recent ward-level realignments and defections from rival political camps, developments it believes could influence the eventual vote margin.
Furthermore, the elites claimed that internal surveys and stakeholder engagements indicate rising support for Oyebamiji among youth groups and professional bodies within the districts. They argued that the APC’s political network and the candidate’s familiarity with the state’s terrain could provide a strategic edge heading into the election season.
However, the caucus acknowledged that Governor Adeleke maintains a solid support base in several parts of Osun State. It noted that voter turnout, party mobilisation, and late political developments would ultimately determine the final outcome.
Despite these variables, the Osun Central Elite Caucus maintained confidence in its projection, insisting that, barring any major political upset, Oyebamiji remains on course for victory.
